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ResearchSeptember 14, 2026

Competence-Gated Pooling of Language Models and Priors for Event Forecasting

arXiv:2609.12101v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In hybrid forecasting, a language model is often one of several available signals. A system may already have a market, crowd, or statistical forecast and must decide whether the model adds useful information or should be ignored.…

Aditi Tiwari, Aashrith Bandaru, Heng Ji·arXiv — cs.AI
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  • 01.arXiv:2609.12101v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In hybrid forecasting, a language model is often one of several available signals
  • 02.A system may already have a market, crowd, or statistical forecast and must decide whether the model adds useful information or should be ignored.…

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