When Should Forecasting Agents Reason? Behavioral Stress Tests for Reliability Routing
arXiv:2609.28475v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting agents increasingly combine language-model reasoning, retrieval, ensembling, and calibration, but it remains unclear when each behavior should be trusted. We study this question on ForecastBench-style binary forecasting…
AI Summary & Key Takeaways
- arXiv:2609.28475v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Forecasting agents increasingly combine language-model reasoning, retrieval, ensembling, and calibration, but it remains unclear when each behavior should be trusted
- We study this question on ForecastBench-style binary forecasting…
When Should Forecasting Agents Reason? Behavioral Stress Tests for Reliability Routing
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