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arXiv — cs.AI

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Proxy Confidence: Auditing Black-Box LLM Agents with a Surrogate's Log-Probabilities

A deployed LLM agent emits tool calls, queries, and code that can be silently wrong -- by the time the error surfaces, the action has run. Frontier chat APIs hide the model's token probabilities; the agent's stated confidence barely beats chance on the mistakes that matter; and…

arXiv — cs.AIBy: Yikai Zhao, Saurabh Pandey, Pradeep Kumar MisraOctober 6, 2026 (Oct 6)
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AI Summary & Key Takeaways

  • A deployed LLM agent emits tool calls, queries, and code that can be silently wrong -- by the time the error surfaces, the action has run
  • Frontier chat APIs hide the model's token probabilities; the agent's stated confidence barely beats chance on the mistakes that matter; and…
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Proxy Confidence: Auditing Black-Box LLM Agents with a Surrogate's Log-Probabilities

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